{"id":2536,"date":"2026-07-27T11:19:01","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T02:19:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/?p=2536"},"modified":"2026-07-27T11:19:01","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T02:19:01","slug":"backtest-failure-modes-three-checks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/?p=2536","title":{"rendered":"\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u306e\u300c\u826f\u3055\u300d\u3088\u308a\u300c\u58ca\u308c\u65b9\u300d\u3092\u898b\u308b3\u3064\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d"},"content":{"rendered":"<div 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u306e\u6570\u5b57\u306b\u307e\u3068\u3081\u308b\u5165\u53e3\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u6b8b\u9ad8\u3068\u6709\u52b9\u8a3c\u62e0\u91d1\u3092\u5206\u3051\u3066\u898b\u308b<\/h3>\n<p>\u6c7a\u6e08\u6e08\u307f\u640d\u76ca\u3092\u57fa\u306b\u3057\u305f\u6b8b\u9ad8\u3068\u3001\u4fdd\u6709\u4e2d\u306e\u542b\u307f\u640d\u76ca\u3092\u542b\u3080\u6709\u52b9\u8a3c\u62e0\u91d1\u3067\u306f\u3001\u843d\u3061\u8fbc\u307f\u65b9\u304c\u7570\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u9577\u304f\u62b1\u3048\u308b\u4ed5\u7d44\u307f\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6b8b\u9ad8\u3060\u3051\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u9014\u4e2d\u306e\u542b\u307f\u640d\u304c\u96a0\u308c\u308b\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306b\u4e21\u65b9\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3001\u60aa\u3044\u307b\u3046\u3092\u898b\u3066\u304a\u304f\u304f\u3089\u3044\u3067\u3061\u3087\u3046\u3069\u3088\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u6700\u5927\u5024\u3092\u300c\u8010\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u640d\u5931\u300d\u3068\u6c7a\u3081\u3064\u3051\u305a\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306b\u89b3\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u305f\u4e00\u4f8b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6271\u3046\u306e\u304c\u5b89\u5168\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/senfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/body-drawdown-depth.png\" alt=\"\u9ad8\u3044\u5730\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u8c37\u307e\u3067\u306e\u6df1\u3055\u3092\u5e2f\u3068\u6e2c\u5b9a\u7dda\u3067\u793a\u3057\u305f\u6700\u5927\u30c9\u30ed\u30fc\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306e\u62bd\u8c61\u56f3\" \/><figcaption>\u6700\u7d42\u640d\u76ca\u3068\u306f\u5225\u306b\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u3089\u6b21\u306e\u5b89\u5024\u307e\u3067\u306e\u843d\u3061\u8fbc\u307f\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>2\u3064\u76ee\u306f\u9023\u6557\u304c\u3069\u3053\u306b\u96c6\u307e\u3063\u305f\u304b<\/h2>\n<h3>\u56de\u6570\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u4e26\u3073\u9806\u3092\u898b\u308b<\/h3>\n<p>\u640d\u5931\u304c10\u56de\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5168\u671f\u9593\u306b\u6563\u3089\u3070\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3068\u3001\u77ed\u3044\u671f\u9593\u306b\u96c6\u4e2d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3067\u306f\u5370\u8c61\u304c\u5909\u308f\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f8c\u8005\u306f\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u74b0\u5883\u3067\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u304c\u82e6\u624b\u306b\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308b\u304d\u3063\u304b\u3051\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>MetaTrader\u306e\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306b\u306f\u3001\u9023\u52dd\u30fb\u9023\u6557\u3084\u53d6\u5f15\u7cfb\u5217\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5408\u8a08\u56de\u6570\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u640d\u5931\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u305f\u9577\u3055\u3084\u3001\u3069\u306e\u6642\u671f\u306b\u56fa\u307e\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3092\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u3067\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u306e\u88cf\u5074\u304c\u898b\u3048\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u82e6\u624b\u306a\u74b0\u5883\u3092\u5f8c\u4ed8\u3051\u3067\u6d88\u3055\u306a\u3044<\/h3>\n<p>\u9023\u6557\u306e\u533a\u9593\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u3068\u3001\u305d\u306e\u90e8\u5206\u3060\u3051\u3092\u907f\u3051\u308b\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u8ffd\u52a0\u3057\u305f\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3053\u306f\u5c11\u3057\u6ce8\u610f\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u898b\u3066\u304b\u3089\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u8db3\u3057\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u3068\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5f62\u306b\u306f\u5408\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5225\u306e\u671f\u9593\u3067\u306f\u518d\u73fe\u3057\u306b\u304f\u3044\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305a\u306f\u300c\u3044\u3064\u3001\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u5d29\u308c\u305f\u304b\u300d\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u3001\u7406\u7531\u306e\u4eee\u8aac\u3068\u6761\u4ef6\u5909\u66f4\u3092\u5206\u3051\u3066\u304a\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4fee\u6b63\u3059\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u4f7f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u5225\u671f\u9593\u3067\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u308b\u4f59\u5730\u3092\u6b8b\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304f\u3068\u3001\u5f8c\u77e5\u6075\u3092\u5c11\u3057\u6e1b\u3089\u305b\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>3\u3064\u76ee\u306f\u671f\u9593\u3092\u5206\u3051\u305f\u3068\u304d\u306e\u5b89\u5b9a\u6027<\/h2>\n<h3>\u524d\u534a\u30fb\u4e2d\u76e4\u30fb\u76f4\u8fd1\u3092\u5225\u3005\u306b\u898b\u308b<\/h3>\n<p>\u5168\u671f\u9593\u306e\u5408\u8a08\u304c\u826f\u304f\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5229\u76ca\u306e\u5927\u534a\u304c\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u77ed\u3044\u533a\u9593\u306b\u504f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u671f\u9593\u3092\u524d\u534a\u30fb\u4e2d\u76e4\u30fb\u76f4\u8fd1\u306a\u3069\u306b\u5206\u3051\u3001\u53d6\u5f15\u56de\u6570\u3001\u640d\u76ca\u3001\u30c9\u30ed\u30fc\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3001\u9023\u6557\u306e\u5f62\u3092\u540c\u3058\u57fa\u6e96\u3067\u4e26\u3079\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u533a\u9593\u3067\u540c\u3058\u6210\u7e3e\u306b\u306a\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u76f8\u5834\u74b0\u5883\u306f\u5909\u308f\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5927\u5207\u306a\u306e\u306f\u3001\u3069\u306e\u533a\u9593\u3067\u4f55\u304c\u5909\u308f\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3092\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3068\u3001\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u5e78\u904b\u306a\u533a\u9593\u304c\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u6301\u3061\u4e0a\u3052\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u8abf\u6574\u7528\u3068\u78ba\u8a8d\u7528\u3092\u6df7\u305c\u306a\u3044<\/h3>\n<p>\u30d1\u30e9\u30e1\u30fc\u30bf\u30fc\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u671f\u9593\u3068\u3001\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u671f\u9593\u3092\u5206\u3051\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u3068\u3082\u540c\u3058\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u4f55\u5ea6\u3082\u63a1\u70b9\u3059\u308b\u72b6\u614b\u306f\u907f\u3051\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u78ba\u8a8d\u7528\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u898b\u3066\u518d\u8abf\u6574\u3057\u305f\u3089\u3001\u305d\u306e\u671f\u9593\u3082\u8abf\u6574\u7528\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308b\u306e\u304c\u81ea\u7136\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b8c\u74a7\u306a\u672a\u6765\u518d\u73fe\u306f\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304c\u3001\u624b\u9806\u3092\u5206\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u300c\u305f\u307e\u305f\u307e\u904e\u53bb\u306b\u5408\u3063\u305f\u3060\u3051\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7591\u3044\u3092\u6b8b\u305b\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7591\u3044\u306f\u90aa\u9b54\u8005\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u691c\u8a3c\u3092\u5b88\u308b\u30d6\u30ec\u30fc\u30ad\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/senfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/body-period-splits.png\" alt=\"\u4e09\u3064\u306e\u671f\u9593\u67a0\u306b\u9023\u7d9a\u3059\u308b\u5e2f\u3068\u504f\u3063\u3066\u914d\u7f6e\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5c0f\u3055\u306a\u30d6\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u671f\u9593\u5206\u5272\u306e\u62bd\u8c61\u56f3\" \/><figcaption>\u671f\u9593\u3092\u5206\u3051\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u533a\u9593\u3078\u306e\u6210\u7e3e\u3084\u640d\u5931\u306e\u504f\u308a\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>3\u3064\u306e\u8cea\u554f\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3068\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044<\/h2>\n<h3>\u6df1\u3055\u30fb\u504f\u308a\u30fb\u671f\u9593\u3092\u9806\u756a\u306b\u805e\u304f<\/h3>\n<p>\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u958b\u3044\u305f\u3089\u3001\u6b21\u306e3\u3064\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u3066\u307f\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u6700\u5927\u30c9\u30ed\u30fc\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306f\u3069\u308c\u304f\u3089\u3044\u6df1\u304f\u3001\u6b8b\u9ad8\u3068\u6709\u52b9\u8a3c\u62e0\u91d1\u3067\u5dee\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u640d\u5931\u3084\u9023\u6557\u306f\u5168\u671f\u9593\u306b\u6563\u3089\u3070\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u6642\u671f\u306b\u96c6\u4e2d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u671f\u9593\u3092\u5206\u3051\u3066\u3082\u53d6\u5f15\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3057\u3001\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u533a\u9593\u3060\u3051\u304c\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u652f\u3048\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u3053\u306e3\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u826f\u3044\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u81ea\u52d5\u7684\u306b\u898b\u3064\u3051\u3066\u304f\u308c\u308b\u9b54\u6cd5\u306e\u5224\u5b9a\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u305d\u308c\u3067\u3082\u3001\u52dd\u7387\u3068\u6700\u7d42\u640d\u76ca\u3060\u3051\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u5d29\u308c\u308b\u5834\u9762\u3092\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306b\u8003\u3048\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u306f\u5408\u683c\u8a3c\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u8cea\u554f\u7968<\/h3>\n<p>\u6700\u5927\u30c9\u30ed\u30fc\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u306f\u50b7\u306e\u6df1\u3055\u3001\u9023\u6557\u306e\u504f\u308a\u306f\u82e6\u624b\u306a\u5c40\u9762\u3001\u671f\u9593\u5206\u5272\u306f\u6210\u7e3e\u306e\u504f\u5728\u3092\u898b\u305b\u3066\u304f\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3069\u308c\u3082\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u89b3\u6e2c\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u3092\u4fdd\u8a3c\u3059\u308b\u6570\u5b57\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u3092\u300c\u3053\u306e\u4ed5\u7d44\u307f\u306f\u52dd\u3066\u308b\u304b\u300d\u3068\u4e00\u554f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u7d42\u308f\u3089\u305b\u305a\u3001\u300c\u3069\u3053\u3067\u58ca\u308c\u3001\u3069\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u306b\u5f31\u304f\u3001\u5225\u306e\u671f\u9593\u3067\u3082\u5f62\u304c\u6b8b\u308b\u304b\u300d\u3068\u8cea\u554f\u3092\u5897\u3084\u3057\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3002\u305d\u3046\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u304d\u308c\u3044\u306a\u6210\u7e3e\u8868\u304b\u3089\u4e00\u6b69\u9032\u3093\u3067\u3001\u6271\u3044\u65b9\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u8cc7\u6599\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u53c2\u7167\u3057\u305f\u516c\u958b\u60c5\u5831<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfa.futures.org\/rulebooksql\/rules.aspx?RuleID=9025&amp;Section=9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NFA Interpretive Notice 9025: Use of Promotional Material Containing Hypothetical Performance Results<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.metatrader5.com\/en\/terminal\/help\/algotrading\/testing_report\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MetaTrader 5 Help: Testing Report<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.metatrader5.com\/en\/terminal\/help\/algotrading\/strategy_optimization\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MetaTrader 5 Help: Strategy Optimization<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><small>\u672c\u8a18\u4e8b\u306f\u691c\u8a3c\u7d50\u679c\u306e\u8aad\u307f\u65b9\u3092\u6574\u7406\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u5b66\u7fd2\u8cc7\u6599\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u624b\u6cd5\u3084\u58f2\u8cb7\u3092\u52e7\u3081\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u4eee\u60f3\u30fb\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u6210\u7e3e\u306f\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u4fdd\u8a3c\u3057\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/small><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u52dd\u7387\u3084\u6700\u7d42\u640d\u76ca\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u898b\u3048\u306b\u304f\u3044\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u306e\u5f31\u70b9\u3092\u3001\u6700\u5927\u30c9\u30ed\u30fc\u30c0\u30a6\u30f3\u3001\u9023\u6557\u306e\u504f\u308a\u3001\u671f\u9593\u5206\u5272\u306e3\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u6574\u7406\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":2533,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[187],"tags":[203,200,201,202],"class_list":["post-2536","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-learn-fx","tag-203","tag-200","tag-201","tag-202"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2536","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2536"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2536\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2537,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2536\/revisions\/2537"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2533"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}