{"id":2656,"date":"2026-08-19T11:15:24","date_gmt":"2026-08-19T02:15:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/?p=2656"},"modified":"2026-08-19T11:15:24","modified_gmt":"2026-08-19T02:15:24","slug":"rba-hold-audjpy-three-checks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/?p=2656","title":{"rendered":"RBA\u306f4.35\uff05\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3001\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3092\u300c\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u300d\u3060\u3051\u3067\u898b\u306a\u30443\u3064\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d"},"content":{"rendered":"<div 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class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/senfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/body-tightening-pause.png\" alt=\"\u4e09\u6bb5\u968e\u306e\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u3068\u653f\u7b56\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u89b3\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u671f\u9593\u3092\u8868\u3059\u56f3\u89e3\" 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u7269\u4fa1\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4e0b\u304c\u308b\u9053\u7b4b\u3068\u4e0a\u632f\u308c\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u4e26\u3076<\/h2>\n<h3>RBA\u306f\u76ee\u6a19\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3078\u306e\u56de\u5e30\u306b\u6642\u9593\u304c\u304b\u304b\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059<\/h3>\n<p>RBA\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u7387\u304c2\uff5e3\uff05\u306e\u76ee\u6a19\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3078\u623b\u308b\u306e\u306f2028\u5e74\u521d\u3081\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u898b\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u3044\u307e\u3059\u30022026\u5e7412\u6708\u306eCPI\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f3.6\uff05\u3001\u30c8\u30ea\u30e0\u5e73\u5747\u306f3.3\uff05\u3067\u3059\u3002\u65b9\u5411\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u920d\u5316\u3092\u898b\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u9593\u3067\u89e3\u6c7a\u3059\u308b\u60f3\u5b9a\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u4e0a\u632f\u308c\u3068\u4e0b\u632f\u308c\u306e\u6750\u6599\u306f\u540c\u6642\u306b\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059<\/h3>\n<p>\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u3084\u8f38\u9001\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u3001\u56fd\u5185\u306e\u4f9b\u7d66\u5236\u7d04\u304c\u9577\u5f15\u3051\u3070\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u306f\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u53cd\u5bfe\u306b\u3001\u4f4f\u5b85\u306e\u5f31\u3055\u3084\u9700\u8981\u306e\u6e1b\u901f\u304c\u60f3\u5b9a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u9032\u3081\u3070\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u3068\u7269\u4fa1\u304c\u65e9\u304f\u51b7\u3048\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308b\u6750\u6599\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4f7f\u3046\u306a\u3089\u3001\u300c\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u304b\u3089\u8ffd\u52a0\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u300d\u3068\u4e00\u672c\u306e\u7dda\u3092\u5f15\u304f\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3069\u3061\u3089\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u7d71\u8a08\u3067\u5f37\u307e\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u304f\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/senfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/body-inflation-slowdown.png\" alt=\"\u7269\u4fa1\u5727\u529b\u3001\u4f4f\u5b85\u3068\u9700\u8981\u306e\u6e1b\u901f\u3001\u4e8c\u3064\u306e\u901a\u8ca8\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u5206\u3051\u3066\u793a\u3059\u56f3\u89e3\" \/><figcaption>\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u7c98\u308a\u3068\u666f\u6c17\u6e1b\u901f\u3092\u5206\u3051\u3001\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3067\u306f\u5186\u5074\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u3082\u4e00\u7dd2\u306b\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>3\u3064\u76ee\u306e\u78ba\u8a8d\u306f\u3001\u52b4\u50cd\u30fb\u4f4f\u5b85\u30fb\u9700\u8981\u3092\u4e00\u7dd2\u306b\u898b\u308b\u3053\u3068<\/h2>\n<h3>\u5931\u696d\u73874.4\uff05\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u52b4\u50cd\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5168\u4f53\u306f\u6c7a\u307e\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093<\/h3>\n<p>ABS\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u30016\u6708\u306e\u5b63\u7bc0\u8abf\u6574\u6e08\u307f\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306f4.4\uff05\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u540c\u6642\u306b\u3001\u5c31\u696d\u8005\u6570\u306f\u524d\u6708\u304b\u30897\u4e076,300\u4eba\u5897\u3048\u3001\u53c2\u52a0\u7387\u306f67.0\uff05\u3078\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5931\u696d\u7387\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u4ed5\u4e8b\u3092\u63a2\u3059\u4eba\u304c\u5897\u3048\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3084\u5c31\u696d\u8005\u304c\u5897\u3048\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u91cd\u306a\u308b\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>RBA\u306f\u52b4\u50cd\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u4e88\u60f3\u3088\u308a\u5c11\u3057\u7de9\u3093\u3060\u3068\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3082\u3001\u5b8c\u5168\u96c7\u7528\u3068\u6bd4\u3079\u308c\u3070\u307e\u3060\u3084\u3084\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a55\u4fa1\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5931\u696d\u7387\u3060\u3051\u3067\u300c\u5f37\u3044\u300d\u300c\u5f31\u3044\u300d\u3068\u6c7a\u3081\u305a\u3001\u5c31\u696d\u8005\u3001\u53c2\u52a0\u7387\u3001\u52b4\u50cd\u6642\u9593\u3082\u4e26\u3079\u308b\u306e\u304c\u81ea\u7136\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u4f4f\u5b85\u4fa1\u683c\u306f3\u6708\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u304b\u30891.6\uff05\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f<\/h3>\n<p>RBA\u306e8\u6708\u5831\u544a\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30ea\u30a2\u306e\u4f4f\u5b85\u4fa1\u683c\u306f3\u6708\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u304b\u30891.6\uff05\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3001\u4f4f\u5b85\u30ed\u30fc\u30f3\u9700\u8981\u3082\u920d\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u304c\u5bb6\u8a08\u3084\u4f4f\u5b85\u5e02\u5834\u3078\u5c4a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6750\u6599\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u4f4f\u5b85\u306e\u5f31\u3055\u3060\u3051\u3067\u7d4c\u6e08\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u4f01\u696d\u6295\u8cc7\u306f\u5f37\u3055\u3092\u4fdd\u3061\u3001\u7279\u306b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30fc\u6295\u8cc7\u304c\u652f\u3048\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068RBA\u306f\u307f\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5bb6\u8a08\u3068\u4f01\u696d\u3067\u6e29\u5ea6\u5dee\u304c\u3042\u308b\u70b9\u3082\u6b8b\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30ea\u30a2\u5074\u3060\u3051\u3067\u7d50\u8ad6\u3092\u51fa\u3055\u306a\u3044<\/h2>\n<h3>\u65e5\u672c\u9280\u884c\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u306f1.0\uff05\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3067\u3059<\/h3>\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u9280\u884c\u306f7\u670831\u65e5\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\u4f1a\u5408\u3067\u3001\u7121\u62c5\u4fdd\u30b3\u30fc\u30eb\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\uff08\u30aa\u30fc\u30d0\u30fc\u30ca\u30a4\u30c8\u7269\uff09\u30921.0\uff05\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3055\u305b\u308b\u65b9\u91dd\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u8cdb\u62108\u3001\u53cd\u5bfe1\u3067\u3001\u53cd\u5bfe\u3057\u305f\u59d4\u54e1\u306f1.25\uff05\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3078\u306e\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u3092\u63d0\u6848\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>RBA\u306e4.35\uff05\u3068\u65e5\u9280\u306e1.0\uff05\u306b\u306f\u5dee\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5dee\u3060\u3051\u3092\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306e\u65b9\u5411\u3078\u76f4\u7d50\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u3069\u3061\u3089\u306e\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u3082\u4eca\u5f8c\u3069\u3046\u52d5\u304f\u304b\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u3084\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u304c\u3069\u3046\u5909\u308f\u308b\u304b\u3092\u843d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u901a\u8ca8\u30da\u30a2\u306f\u4e8c\u3064\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u540c\u6642\u306b\u6620\u3057\u307e\u3059<\/h3>\n<p>\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30ea\u30a2\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u30fb\u7269\u4fa1\u30fb\u96c7\u7528\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u3084\u7269\u4fa1\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u306a\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u9078\u597d\u3082\u91cd\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u8cc7\u6e90\u4fa1\u683c\u3084\u4e2d\u56fd\u3092\u542b\u3080\u4e3b\u8981\u8cbf\u6613\u76f8\u624b\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u3082\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5074\u306e\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u306e\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u3092\u898b\u305f\u3089\u3001\u8c6a\u5dde\u5074\u306e\u6750\u6599\u30923\u3064\u306b\u5206\u3051\u305f\u5f8c\u3067\u3001\u5186\u5074\u306b\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u5909\u5316\u304c\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u9806\u756a\u306a\u3089\u3001\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u5dee\u306b\u5168\u90e8\u3092\u80cc\u8ca0\u308f\u305b\u305a\u306b\u6e08\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u4eca\u65e5\u306e\u6750\u6599\u30923\u3064\u306e\u7bb1\u306b\u5206\u3051\u308b<\/h2>\n<h3>\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u305f\u3044\u9806\u756a<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>RBA\u306f\u5e74\u521d\u304b\u30893\u56de\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u30018\u6708\u306b4.35\uff05\u3067\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u3044\u305f<\/li>\n<li>\u6708\u6b21CPI\u306f3.8\uff05\u3078\u920d\u5316\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u30c8\u30ea\u30e0\u5e73\u5747\u306f3.6\uff05\u3067\u57fa\u8abf\u7684\u306a\u5727\u529b\u304c\u6b8b\u308b<\/li>\n<li>\u5931\u696d\u7387\u3001\u4f4f\u5b85\u3001\u9700\u8981\u306b\u306f\u6e1b\u901f\u306e\u5146\u3057\u304c\u3042\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u65e5\u9280\u5074\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u6761\u4ef6\u3082\u52d5\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u3053\u306e3\u3064\u3092\u5225\u3005\u306b\u7f6e\u3044\u3066\u304b\u3089\u6b21\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u3092\u8db3\u3059\u3068\u3001\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3092\u300c\u4f55\u3082\u8d77\u304d\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u4f1a\u5408\u300d\u3068\u8aa4\u89e3\u3057\u306b\u304f\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u6570\u5b57\u304c\u51fa\u305f\u3068\u304d\u3082\u3001\u3069\u306e\u7bb1\u304c\u5909\u308f\u3063\u305f\u306e\u304b\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u307e\u3068\u3081<\/h2>\n<p>RBA\u306f8\u6708\u3001\u30ad\u30e3\u30c3\u30b7\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u76ee\u6a19\u30924.35\uff05\u306b\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u7269\u4fa1\u3078\u306e\u8b66\u6212\u3092\u89e3\u3044\u305f\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u30023\u56de\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u898b\u6975\u3081\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001\u57fa\u8abf\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u306e\u7c98\u308a\u3068\u666f\u6c17\u6e1b\u901f\u306e\u4e21\u65b9\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8c6a\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u304d\u306f\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u3060\u3051\u3067\u6025\u3044\u3067\u7d50\u8ad6\u3092\u51fa\u3055\u305a\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3001\u7dcf\u5408\u3068\u57fa\u8abf\u306e\u7269\u4fa1\u3001\u52b4\u50cd\u30fb\u4f4f\u5b85\u30fb\u9700\u8981\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u5186\u5074\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u3092\u5206\u3051\u3066\u307f\u308b\u306e\u304c\u3088\u3055\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u306e\u8a00\u8449\u304c\u5f37\u304f\u898b\u3048\u308b\u65e5\u307b\u3069\u3001\u6570\u5b57\u306e\u7f6e\u304d\u5834\u6240\u3092\u6574\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u52a9\u3051\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><small>\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306f\u516c\u958b\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u3066\u76f8\u5834\u6750\u6599\u306e\u8aad\u307f\u65b9\u3092\u5b66\u3076\u305f\u3081\u306e\u6574\u7406\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5224\u65ad\u3084\u53d6\u5f15\u884c\u52d5\u3092\u52e7\u3081\u308b\u5185\u5bb9\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/small><\/p>\n<h2>\u51fa\u5178<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rba.gov.au\/media-releases\/2026\/mr-26-19.html\">Reserve Bank of Australia, Monetary Policy Decision, 11 August 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rba.gov.au\/publications\/smp\/2026\/aug\/overview.html\">Reserve Bank of Australia, Statement on Monetary Policy, August 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/statistics\/economy\/price-indexes-and-inflation\/consumer-price-index-australia\/jun-2026\">Australian Bureau of Statistics, Consumer Price Index, Australia, June 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/statistics\/labour\/employment-and-unemployment\/labour-force-australia\/jun-2026\">Australian Bureau of Statistics, Labour Force, Australia, June 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.boj.or.jp\/mopo\/mpmdeci\/mpr_2026\/k260731a.pdf\">\u65e5\u672c\u9280\u884c\u300c\u5f53\u9762\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u653f\u7b56\u904b\u55b6\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u300d2026\u5e747\u670831\u65e5<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"RBA\u306e4.35\uff05\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3092\u30013\u56de\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u5f8c\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3001\u7dcf\u5408\u3068\u57fa\u8abf\u306e\u7269\u4fa1\u3001\u52b4\u50cd\u30fb\u4f4f\u5b85\u30fb\u5186\u5074\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u306b\u5206\u3051\u3066\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":2653,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[191],"tags":[209,193,207,208],"class_list":["post-2656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-now","tag-rba","tag-193","tag-207","tag-cpi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2656","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2656"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2656\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2657,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2656\/revisions\/2657"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2653"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2656"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2656"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2656"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}