{"id":2903,"date":"2026-10-11T10:04:40","date_gmt":"2026-10-11T01:04:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/?p=2903"},"modified":"2026-10-11T10:04:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-11T01:04:40","slug":"weekly-outlook-20261012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/?p=2903","title":{"rendered":"\u6765\u9031\u306e\u5c55\u671b\uff5c10\u670812\u65e5\u301c18\u65e5\u3001\u7c73\u7269\u4fa1\u3068\u666f\u6c17\u30fb\u653f\u7b56\u767a\u8a00\u3092\u91cd\u306d\u3066\u8aad\u3080"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6765\u9031\u306f\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u8cb7\u3044\u7269\u3084\u751f\u7523\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3001\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u306e\u8a00\u8449\u307e\u3067\u305d\u308d\u3046\u4e00\u9031\u9593\u306b\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u767a\u8868\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3059\u3050\u306b\u7d50\u8ad6\u3092\u51fa\u3059\u3088\u308a\u3001\u5c11\u3057\u305a\u3064\u6750\u6599\u3092\u91cd\u306d\u3066\u307f\u305f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u5bfe\u8c61\u306f2026\u5e7410\u670812\u65e5\uff08\u6708\uff09\u301c10\u670818\u65e5\uff08\u65e5\uff09<\/strong>\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u6642\u523b\u306f\u3059\u3079\u3066\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593\u300210\u670811\u65e5\u306b\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u305f\u516c\u5f0f\u4e88\u5b9a\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u3001FX\u3068\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u70b9\u3092\u6574\u7406\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4e88\u5b9a\u306f\u5909\u66f4\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u307e\u305a\u306f\u3001\u6765\u9031\u306e\u4e88\u5b9a\u3092\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593\u3067<\/h2>\n

\u7269\u4fa1\u30fb\u6d88\u8cbb\u30fb\u751f\u7523\u304c\u3001\u9031\u306e\u5f8c\u534a\u306b\u4e26\u3073\u307e\u3059<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593<\/th>\n\u516c\u8868\u4e88\u5b9a<\/th>\n\u4f55\u3092\u898b\u308b\u8cc7\u6599\u304b<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
10\u670814\u65e5\uff08\u6c34\uff0921:30<\/td>\n\u7c73\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\u30019\u6708\u5206\uff09<\/td>\n\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u304c\u652f\u6255\u3046\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u52d5\u304d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10\u670815\u65e5\uff08\u6728\uff0915:00<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u6708\u6b21GDP\uff088\u6708\u5206\uff09<\/td>\n\u82f1\u56fd\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u6d3b\u52d5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10\u670815\u65e5\uff08\u6728\uff0921:30<\/td>\n\u7c73\u751f\u7523\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff08PPI\u30019\u6708\u5206\uff09\u30fb\u7c73\u5c0f\u58f2\u58f2\u4e0a\u9ad8\uff089\u6708\u5206\uff09<\/td>\n\u751f\u7523\u8005\u5074\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u3068\u6d88\u8cbb\u306e\u52d5\u304d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10\u670816\u65e5\uff08\u91d1\uff0921:30<\/td>\n\u7c73\u8f38\u51fa\u5165\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff089\u6708\u5206\uff09<\/td>\n\u8cbf\u6613\u3092\u901a\u3058\u305f\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u52d5\u304d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10\u670816\u65e5\uff08\u91d1\uff0922:15<\/td>\n\u7c73\u9271\u5de5\u696d\u751f\u7523\u30fb\u8a2d\u5099\u7a3c\u50cd\u7387\uff089\u6708\u5206\uff09<\/td>\n\u751f\u7523\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3068\u8a2d\u5099\u306e\u5229\u7528\u72b6\u6cc1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n

\u7c73\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u65e5\u7a0b\u306fBLS\u306e10\u6708\u516c\u8868\u4e88\u5b9a<\/a>\u3001\u5c0f\u58f2\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u52e2\u8abf\u67fb\u5c40\u306e\u901f\u5831\u65e5\u7a0b<\/a>\u3001\u751f\u7523\u306fFRB\u306e10\u6708\u30ab\u30ec\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc<\/a>\u3001\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u306fONS\u306e\u516c\u8868\u6848\u5185<\/a>\u3067\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7c73\u6771\u90e8\u306f\u3053\u306e\u9031\u3001\u590f\u6642\u9593\u3067\u65e5\u672c\u3088\u308a13\u6642\u9593\u9045\u304f\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u306f8\u6642\u9593\u9045\u308c\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u8a71\u306f\u3001\u767a\u8a00\u3068\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u5206\u3051\u3066<\/h3>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593\u30fb\u671f\u9593<\/th>\n\u516c\u5f0f\u4e88\u5b9a<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
10\u670812\u65e5\uff08\u6708\uff09\u301c18\u65e5\uff08\u65e5\uff09<\/td>\nIMF\u30fb\u4e16\u754c\u9280\u884c\u5e74\u6b21\u4f1a\u5408\uff08\u30d0\u30f3\u30b3\u30af\u3001\u4f1a\u671f\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10\u670813\u65e5\uff08\u706b\uff0911:00<\/td>\nIMF\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u898b\u901a\u3057\uff08WEO\uff09\u8a18\u8005\u4f1a\u898b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10\u670815\u65e5\uff08\u6728\uff0903:00<\/td>\n\u7c73\u5730\u533a\u9023\u9280\u7d4c\u6e08\u5831\u544a\uff08\u30d9\u30fc\u30b8\u30e5\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10\u670816\u65e5\uff08\u91d1\uff0912:30<\/td>\nFRB\u8b70\u9577\u3068IMF\u5c02\u52d9\u7406\u4e8b\u306e\u5bfe\u8ac7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n

IMF\u306e\u65e5\u7a0b\u306f\u516c\u5f0f\u4f1a\u5408\u30b9\u30b1\u30b8\u30e5\u30fc\u30eb<\/a>\u3001\u30d9\u30fc\u30b8\u30e5\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u3068\u8b70\u9577\u5bfe\u8ac7\u306fFRB\u306e\u30ab\u30ec\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc\u306b\u63b2\u8f09\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5bfe\u8ac7\u306f\u7c73\u6771\u90e8\u306e15\u65e523:30\u304c\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306f16\u65e512:30\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30d0\u30f3\u30b3\u30af\u306e\u6642\u523b\u306b\u306f2\u6642\u9593\u3092\u8db3\u3057\u3066\u63db\u7b97\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306f\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u3084\u610f\u898b\u4ea4\u63db\u306e\u6a5f\u4f1a\u3067\u3059\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u308bFOMC\u4f1a\u5408\u3068\u306f\u5f79\u5272\u304c\u9055\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002FRB\u304c\u63b2\u8f09\u3059\u308b\u6b21\u306e\u5b9a\u4f8b\u4f1a\u5408\u306f\u7c73\u56fd\u65e5\u4ed8\u306e10\u670827\u301c28\u65e5\u3067\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u5bfe\u8c61\u9031\u3088\u308a\u5148\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u65e5\u672c\u6642\u9593\u3067\u7c73CPI14\u65e521\u664230\u5206\u3001PPI\u3068\u5c0f\u58f215\u65e521\u664230\u5206\u3001\u751f\u752316\u65e522\u664215\u5206\u3001IMF\u4f1a\u898b\u3068FRB\u5bfe\u8ac7\u306a\u3069\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u4e88\u5b9a\u3092\u4e26\u3079\u305f\u56f3\"
2026\u5e7410\u670811\u65e5\u306b\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u305f\u516c\u5f0f\u4e88\u5b9a\u306e\u629c\u7c8b\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4e88\u5b9a\u306f\u5909\u66f4\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

FX\u306f\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u3068\u666f\u6c17\u306e\u624b\u5fdc\u3048\u3092\u4e00\u7dd2\u306b<\/h2>\n

CPI\u306e\u5f37\u5f31\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u3064\u3051\u306a\u3044<\/h3>\n

FRB\u306f9\u670816\u65e5\u306e\u58f0\u660e<\/a>\u3067\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u76ee\u6a19\u7bc4\u56f2\u30920.25\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u30013.75\u301c4.00\uff05\u306b\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u306a\u304a\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a8d\u8b58\u3082\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6765\u9031\u306eCPI\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u7269\u4fa1\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308b\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u624b\u304c\u304b\u308a\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u52e2\u3044\u304c\u5f37\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5f15\u304d\u7de0\u3081\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u304c\u610f\u8b58\u3055\u308c\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u843d\u3061\u7740\u304d\u304c\u898b\u3048\u308c\u3070\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u9032\u3081\u65b9\u3092\u614e\u91cd\u306b\u8003\u3048\u308b\u6750\u6599\u306b\u306a\u308a\u5f97\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3001\u524d\u5e74\u6bd4\u3068\u524d\u6708\u6bd4\u3001\u98df\u54c1\u30fb\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u3092\u9664\u304f\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u540c\u3058\u65b9\u5411\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u306f\u9650\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u767a\u8868\u3092\u307e\u3060\u898b\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u4eca\u306f\u3001\u7d50\u679c\u3084\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306e\u6709\u7121\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u305a\u306b\u5f85\u3061\u305f\u3044\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c0f\u58f2\u3068\u751f\u7523\u304c\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u8aad\u307f\u65b9\u3092\u88dc\u3063\u3066\u304f\u308c\u307e\u3059<\/h3>\n

15\u65e5\u306e\u5c0f\u58f2\u58f2\u4e0a\u9ad8\u306816\u65e5\u306e\u9271\u5de5\u696d\u751f\u7523\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u9700\u8981\u3084\u751f\u7523\u306e\u624b\u5fdc\u3048\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u308b\u6750\u6599\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7269\u4fa1\u304c\u9ad8\u304f\u3066\u3082\u666f\u6c17\u304c\u5f31\u3044\u5834\u5408\u3068\u3001\u666f\u6c17\u306e\u5e95\u5805\u3055\u3082\u4f34\u3046\u5834\u5408\u3067\u306f\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u3078\u306e\u53d7\u3051\u6b62\u3081\u65b9\u304c\u5909\u308f\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c0f\u58f2\u58f2\u4e0a\u9ad8\u306f\u4fa1\u683c\u5909\u52d5\u3092\u8abf\u6574\u3057\u305f\u6570\u91cf\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u58f2\u4e0a\u91d1\u984d\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u3092\u3001\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u8cb7\u3063\u305f\u91cf\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u306b\u7f6e\u304d\u63db\u3048\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3082\u5927\u5207\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30d9\u30fc\u30b8\u30e5\u30d6\u30c3\u30af\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6570\u5b57\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u5730\u57df\u306e\u4f01\u696d\u306a\u3069\u304c\u611f\u3058\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5909\u5316\u306b\u3082\u76ee\u3092\u5411\u3051\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u6750\u6599\u3078\u306e\u53cd\u5fdc\u306b\u52a0\u3048\u3066\u65e5\u672c\u5074\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u3084\u5186\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3082\u95a2\u308f\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7c73\u6307\u6a19\u306e\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u4e00\u3064\u304b\u3089\u3001\u5186\u5b89\u30fb\u5186\u9ad8\u306e\u884c\u304d\u5148\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u308b\u306e\u306f\u6025\u304c\u306a\u304f\u3066\u3082\u3088\u3055\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u666f\u6c17\u3068\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u8a00\u8449\u306b\u3082\u76ee\u3092\u5411\u3051\u3066<\/h2>\n

IMF\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3068\u82f1\u56fdGDP\u306f\u3001\u5225\u306e\u7a93\u304b\u3089\u666f\u6c17\u3092\u898b\u308b\u6a5f\u4f1a<\/h3>\n

13\u65e5\u306eWEO\u4f1a\u898b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u6210\u9577\u3084\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3069\u3093\u306a\u8aac\u660e\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u304b\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u516c\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3089\u3001\u6570\u5b57\u306e\u4e0a\u3052\u4e0b\u3052\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3069\u306e\u5730\u57df\u3084\u524d\u63d0\u304c\u5909\u308f\u3063\u305f\u306e\u304b\u3092\u8aad\u3093\u3067\u307f\u305f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002IMF\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306f\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3059\u3067\u306b\u8d77\u304d\u305f\u6210\u9577\u7387\u306e\u78ba\u5b9a\u5024\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u56fd\u306e8\u6708GDP\u306f\u3001\u30dd\u30f3\u30c9\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3046\u3048\u3067\u666f\u6c17\u306e\u624b\u304c\u304b\u308a\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7c73\u56fd\u306e9\u6708\u6307\u6a19\u3068\u306f\u5bfe\u8c61\u6708\u304c\u9055\u3046\u306e\u3067\u3001\u5f37\u5f31\u3092\u5358\u7d14\u306b\u540c\u3058\u6642\u70b9\u306e\u7af6\u4e89\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6bd4\u3079\u305a\u3001\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3092\u8ffd\u3046\u307b\u3046\u304c\u8aad\u307f\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

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