{"id":3072,"date":"2026-11-08T10:14:14","date_gmt":"2026-11-08T01:14:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/?p=3072"},"modified":"2026-11-08T10:14:14","modified_gmt":"2026-11-08T01:14:14","slug":"weekly-outlook-20261109","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/senfx.com\/?p=3072","title":{"rendered":"\u6765\u9031\u306eFX\u30fb\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u5c55\u671b\uff5c11\u67089\u65e5\u301c15\u65e5\u3001\u65e5\u9280\u306e\u4e3b\u306a\u610f\u898b\u3068\u7c73CPI\u3092\u3069\u3046\u8aad\u3080\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div 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href=\"https:\/\/www.boj.or.jp\/mopo\/mpmsche_minu\/m_ref\/mref250731a.pdf\">\u65e5\u9280\u306e\u4f1a\u5408\u30fb\u8cc7\u6599\u516c\u8868\u65e5\u7a0b<\/a>\u3067\u3001\u4f1a\u5408\u5f53\u65e5\u3068\u8cc7\u6599\u306e\u516c\u8868\u65e5\u3092\u5206\u3051\u3066\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5186\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u304d\u306f\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u3084\u8cc3\u91d1\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u5224\u65ad\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u3092\u88dc\u3046\u610f\u898b\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u304c\u8aad\u307f\u3069\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3042\u308b\u4e00\u6587\u3060\u3051\u3092\u62fe\u3046\u3088\u308a\u3001\u7570\u306a\u308b\u610f\u898b\u3084\u5224\u65ad\u306e\u524d\u63d0\u3082\u4e00\u7dd2\u306b\u898b\u305f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u7c73CPI\u306f10\u65e5\u3001\u82f1GDP\u306f12\u65e5\u3001\u7c73PPI\u306f13\u65e5<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>11\u670810\u65e5\uff08\u706b\uff0922\u664230\u5206\uff1a<\/strong>\u7c7310\u6708\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff09\u3068\u5b9f\u8cea\u8cc3\u91d1\u3002\u7c73\u52b4\u50cd\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\u306e\u4e88\u5b9a\u306f\u7c73\u6771\u90e8\u6642\u95938\u664230\u5206\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>11\u670811\u65e5\uff08\u6c34\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u7c73\u52b4\u50cd\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\u306e\u30ab\u30ec\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc\u306fVeterans Day\u306e\u795d\u65e5\u8868\u8a18\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u4f11\u5834\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u305f\u3081\u3001\u53d6\u5f15\u6642\u9593\u3084\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u95a2\u306e\u55b6\u696d\u65e5\u306f\u500b\u5225\u306b\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>11\u670812\u65e5\uff08\u6728\uff0916\u6642\uff1a<\/strong>\u82f1\u56fd7\u301c9\u6708\u671fGDP\u306e\u4e00\u6b21\u63a8\u8a08\u3002\u82f1\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\u306e\u4e88\u5b9a\u306f\u73fe\u5730\u6642\u95937\u6642\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>11\u670813\u65e5\uff08\u91d1\uff0922\u664230\u5206\uff1a<\/strong>\u7c7310\u6708\u751f\u7523\u8005\u7269\u4fa1\u6307\u6570\uff08PPI\uff09\u3002\u4e88\u5b9a\u306f\u7c73\u6771\u90e8\u6642\u95938\u664230\u5206\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u65e5\u7a0b\u306e\u51fa\u5178\u306f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/schedule\/2026\/11_sched.htm\">\u7c73\u52b4\u50cd\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\u306e11\u6708\u516c\u8868\u4e88\u5b9a<\/a>\u3068<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ons.gov.uk\/releases\/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateukjulytoseptember2026\">\u82f1\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\u306eGDP\u516c\u8868\u4e88\u5b9a<\/a>\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u590f\u6642\u9593\u306f11\u67081\u65e5\u306b\u7d42\u4e86\u3057\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u308210\u670825\u65e5\u306bGMT\u3078\u623b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u7c73\u6771\u90e8\u6642\u9593\u306b14\u6642\u9593\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u6642\u9593\u306b9\u6642\u9593\u3092\u8db3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nist.gov\/pml\/time-and-frequency-division\/popular-links\/daylight-saving-time-dst\">\u7c73NIST\u306e\u590f\u6642\u9593\u6848\u5185<\/a>\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/when-do-the-clocks-change\">\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u306e\u6642\u523b\u6848\u5185<\/a>\u3082\u53c2\u7167\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u306f\u4e3b\u306a\u6ce8\u76ee\u4e88\u5b9a\u3092\u9078\u3093\u3060\u4e00\u89a7\u3067\u3059\u3002\u516c\u8868\u4e88\u5b9a\u306f\u5909\u66f4\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u767a\u8868\u524d\u306b\u306f\u5404\u6a5f\u95a2\u306e\u6700\u65b0\u6848\u5185\u3082\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/senfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/body-1-7.png\" alt=\"\u8cb7\u3044\u7269\u304b\u3054\u3068\u767d\u7d19\u306e\u8cc7\u6599\u3067\u7269\u4fa1\u7d71\u8a08\u3092\u8868\u3059\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\" \/><figcaption>\u6ce8\u76ee\u6750\u6599\u3092\u8868\u3059\u6982\u5ff5\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u3067\u3059\u3002\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u30fb\u7d71\u8a08\u5024\u30fb\u767a\u8868\u6642\u523b\u3092\u63cf\u3044\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u7269\u4fa1\u3068\u65e5\u9280\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u3092\u91cd\u306d\u3066\u8aad\u3080<\/h2>\n<h3>\u96c7\u7528\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u306b\u3001\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u6750\u6599\u304c\u52a0\u308f\u308b\u9031<\/h3>\n<p>11\u67086\u65e5\u306b\u516c\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305f\u7c7310\u6708\u96c7\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u3067\u306f\u3001\u975e\u8fb2\u696d\u90e8\u9580\u96c7\u7528\u8005\u6570\u306f\u524d\u6708\u304b\u308916\u4e075,000\u4eba\u5897\u3001\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306f4.1\uff05\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001FRB\u306f10\u670828\u65e5\u306e\u58f0\u660e\u3067\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u8a98\u5c0e\u76ee\u6a19\u30923.75\u301c4.00\uff05\u306b\u636e\u3048\u7f6e\u304d\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u304c\u306a\u304a\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\">\u7c73\u52b4\u50cd\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\u306e\u96c7\u7528\u7d71\u8a08<\/a>\u3068<a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/pressreleases\/monetary20261028a.htm\">FRB\u306e10\u6708\u58f0\u660e<\/a>\u3067\u78ba\u8a8d\u3057\u305f\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u6750\u6599\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u571f\u53f0\u306b\u52a0\u308f\u308bCPI\u306f\u3001\u7dcf\u5408\u6307\u6570\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u98df\u54c1\u30fb\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u3092\u9664\u304f\u6307\u6570\u3084\u524d\u6708\u6bd4\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3082\u898b\u6bd4\u3079\u305f\u3044\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3002\u7269\u4fa1\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u7c98\u308a\u304c\u610f\u8b58\u3055\u308c\u308c\u3070\u7c73\u91d1\u5229\u3084\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u652f\u3048\u308b\u6750\u6599\u306b\u306a\u308a\u5f97\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u920d\u5316\u304c\u5e83\u304c\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5148\u884c\u304d\u306e\u91d1\u5229\u3078\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u304c\u5909\u308f\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3069\u3061\u3089\u3082\u3001\u6570\u5b57\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u524d\u306b\u7d50\u8ad6\u3092\u7f6e\u304f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u540c\u3058\u706b\u66dc\u65e5\u3067\u3082\u3001\u5186\u5074\u3068\u30c9\u30eb\u5074\u306e\u6642\u9593\u306f\u9055\u3046<\/h3>\n<p>\u671d\u306e\u65e5\u9280\u8cc7\u6599\u3067\u5186\u304c\u53cd\u5fdc\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u305d\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u591c\u306eCPI\u5f8c\u307e\u3067\u7d9a\u304f\u3068\u306f\u9650\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u30c9\u30eb\u5186\u306f\u4e21\u901a\u8ca8\u306e\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u6750\u6599\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u53cd\u5fdc\u3068\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u6750\u6599\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u53cd\u5fdc\u3092\u5207\u308a\u5206\u3051\u308b\u3068\u6574\u7406\u3057\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u65e5\u9280\u8cc7\u6599\u306b\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u3092\u610f\u8b58\u3055\u305b\u308b\u610f\u898b\u304c\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u7c73\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3084\u7c73\u91d1\u5229\u306e\u5909\u5316\u304c\u91cd\u306a\u308c\u3070\u3001\u70ba\u66ff\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u6253\u3061\u6d88\u3057\u5408\u3046\u5834\u9762\u3082\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u300c\u671d\u306b\u3053\u3046\u52d5\u3044\u305f\u304b\u3089\u3001\u591c\u3082\u540c\u3058\u300d\u3068\u306f\u6c7a\u3081\u305a\u3001\u767a\u8868\u306e\u305f\u3073\u306b\u6750\u6599\u3092\u4e26\u3079\u76f4\u3059\u9031\u306b\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u30dd\u30f3\u30c9\u3068\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306f\u3001\u5225\u306e\u6750\u6599\u3082\u4e00\u7dd2\u306b<\/h2>\n<h3>\u82f1GDP\u306f\u3001\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u5224\u65ad\u3068\u666f\u6c17\u3092\u7167\u3089\u3057\u5408\u308f\u305b\u308b<\/h3>\n<p>\u30a4\u30f3\u30b0\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u9280\u884c\u306f11\u67085\u65e5\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u91d1\u5229\u30920.25\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u30664\uff05\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankofengland.co.uk\/monetary-policy-summary-and-minutes\/2026\/november-2026\">\u516c\u5f0f\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u8981\u65e8<\/a>\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u4fa1\u683c\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u8cc3\u91d1\u3084\u4fa1\u683c\u8a2d\u5b9a\u3078\u6ce2\u53ca\u3059\u308b\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u300212\u65e5\u306eGDP\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u5224\u65ad\u3068\u4f75\u305b\u3066\u82f1\u56fd\u666f\u6c17\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308b\u6750\u6599\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305f\u3060\u3057\u30017\u301c9\u6708\u671f\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u306f11\u6708\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3088\u308a\u524d\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u6d3b\u52d5\u3067\u3059\u3002\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u3082\u3046\u8868\u308c\u305f\u3001\u3068\u8aad\u3080\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u666f\u6c17\u306e\u5e95\u5805\u3055\u304c\u78ba\u8a8d\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3068\u3001\u5f31\u3055\u304c\u76ee\u7acb\u3064\u5834\u5408\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308b\u8996\u70b9\u3082\u5909\u308f\u308a\u5f97\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30dd\u30f3\u30c9\u306f\u82f1\u56fd\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u76f8\u624b\u901a\u8ca8\u306e\u6750\u6599\u3084\u767a\u8868\u524d\u306e\u7e54\u308a\u8fbc\u307f\u306b\u3082\u5de6\u53f3\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306f\u300c\u7269\u4fa1\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u304b\u3089\u4e0a\u304c\u308b\u300d\u3067\u7d42\u308f\u3089\u305b\u306a\u3044<\/h3>\n<p>\u91d1\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u304d\u306f\u3001CPI\u3084PPI\u306e\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u3001\u7c73\u91d1\u5229\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u3069\u3046\u52d5\u304f\u304b\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u305f\u3044\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7269\u4fa1\u306e\u7c98\u308a\u304c\u610f\u8b58\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3082\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u3084\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u91cd\u8377\u306b\u306a\u308b\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u9006\u306b\u7269\u4fa1\u304c\u843d\u3061\u7740\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3060\u3051\u3067\u91d1\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u6c7a\u307e\u308b\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b9f\u8cea\u91d1\u5229\u306f\u3001\u540d\u76ee\u91d1\u5229\u304b\u3089\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u671f\u5f85\u3092\u5dee\u3057\u5f15\u3044\u3066\u8003\u3048\u308b\u91d1\u5229\u3067\u3059\u3002CPI\u306e\u4f38\u3073\u3092\u540d\u76ee\u91d1\u5229\u304b\u3089\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u5f15\u3044\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3068\u306f\u533a\u5225\u3057\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u7269\u4fa1\u767a\u8868\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3001\u91d1\u5229\u3068\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u671f\u5f85\u306e\u3069\u3061\u3089\u304c\u5909\u308f\u3063\u305f\u306e\u304b\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u91d1\u306e\u53cd\u5fdc\u3092\u8aad\u307f\u89e3\u304f\u52a9\u3051\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>PPI\u3082CPI\u3068\u540c\u3058\u5bfe\u8c61\u3092\u6e2c\u308b\u7d71\u8a08\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u91d1\u66dc\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u706b\u66dc\u306e\u8aad\u307f\u65b9\u3092\u88dc\u3046\u306e\u304b\u3001\u5225\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u793a\u3059\u306e\u304b\u3002\u4e00\u672c\u306e\u6307\u6a19\u306b\u7b54\u3048\u3092\u4efb\u305b\u305a\u3001\u6750\u6599\u540c\u58eb\u306e\u3064\u306a\u304c\u308a\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u308b\u59ff\u52e2\u304c\u5f79\u7acb\u3061\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/senfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/body-2-7.png\" alt=\"\u91d1\u8272\u306e\u7403\u3068\u9752\u3044\u7acb\u65b9\u4f53\u3001\u767d\u7d19\u306e\u30ab\u30fc\u30c9\u3092\u5225\u3005\u306e\u53f0\u5ea7\u306b\u7f6e\u3044\u305f\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\" 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href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/fomccalendars.htm\">FOMC\u516c\u5f0f\u30ab\u30ec\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc<\/a>\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/calendars\/mgcgc\/html\/index.en.html\">ECB\u516c\u5f0f\u4f1a\u5408\u65e5\u7a0b<\/a>\u3001<a 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